Probability forecasts possible dangerous weather

Probability forecasts for possible dangerous weather, based on weather model output from the ECMWF atmospheric ensemble model. Probabilities are uncalibrated. Available are forcast for elements like: wind, temperature, precipitation, thunderstorms and fog (visibility). For every element one or multiple threshold may be available (e.g. wind 75 km/h). The forecasts are provided on a gridded basis with a single probability per day up to 14 days ahead.